RAMON PONCE JR
DBA: BRONCO SERVICES
(575) 397-0096
peggy@drivehappyclovis.com
6513 S Eunice Hwy, Hobbs NM 88240
5
tractors · all owned
4 drivers
175k mi/yr · ~35k per unit
Not enough record
Graded once the record supports it
20 yrs history · 0 roadside inspections
FMCSA Live Status
Checking FMCSA…
Fleet & equipment
- Power units
- 5
- Drivers · CDL
- 4 · 4
- Annual miles
- 175k
| Type | Own | Term | Trip | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trucks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tractors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Trailers | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Registration
- FMCSA Rating
- Conditional (07-14-2014)historical — superseded by active authority (reviewed 12 yr ago)
- Registered
- 10-31-2006 (20 yrs)
- MCS-150 Update
- 05-28-2026
- FRED Score Date
- Nov 07, 2026
- Officer
- RAMON PONCE JR
Cargo
8.0
minimal risk
Other: WATER
Water Well
Estimated from the commodity types reported to FMCSA, not from loss history or the true cargo mix.
Advisory Grade — Outside the Ranked Book
Fleets under 10 power units are graded against their size cohort (pu2_5) for reference, but sit outside the 10+ power-unit underwriting book the FRED rank covers.
Not enough record to grade yet.
No inspections and no crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months fit anything from an Excellent fleet to a Poor one.
Similar fleets: for-hire fleets of 2–5 trucks with the same kind of operation, years in business and amount of road activity. Compared using its own crash record and roadside inspections.
80% likely range 0.10×–2.40×
ExcellentStrongSatisf.SatisfactoryMarginalPoorCritical
▲ Similar fleets 1.0×
Expected crashes, next 12 months
0.1 vs 0.0 for similar fleets
Most likely none
This motor carrier
0.1
Similar fleets
0.0
A record this thin can't pin that down: about a 1-in-5 chance it runs at Poor-level crash rates.
Ask
Loss runs for the last 3 years, and confirm the fleet is operating at its filed size (5 power units).
What the record shows
Crash history
betterworse
About typical. 0 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months; similar fleets have under 0.1 a year. The grade counts 1 crash in its 36-month scoring window, recent ones weighted most.
Roadside inspections
betterworse
No roadside record. No inspections in the scoring window, so roadside results leave its estimate at typical.
Worth a closer look
From the FMCSA record. The estimate already counts the safety items; insurance filings and links to other motor carriers are context only.
-
Little roadside historyOnly 0 inspections in 24 months for 5 power units; the record says little either way.Ask: confirm the fleet is operating at the filed size.
Data flags
-
Historical FMCSA safety ratingFMCSA once rated this motor carrier Conditional or Unsatisfactory, but the rating is stale or superseded — the motor carrier still holds active operating authority (a current Unsatisfactory would have it revoked), so it does not reflect current standing. Shown for context, not as a current finding.
-
Limited inspection historyFewer than 5 roadside inspections on record, so there isn't enough data to score this motor carrier with high confidence — the score leans more on peers.
Track record
FMCSA record, last 24 months
· grade scored on Sep 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026
Crashes
0
0 fatalities · 0 injuries · 0 tow-aways
Inspections
0
roadside inspections
Vehicle out-of-service
—
no inspections
National avg 22.3%
Driver out-of-service
—
no inspections
National avg 6.7%
Violations
0
0 out-of-service
vs 4,510 peer fleets
Inspections per power unit look like an outlier vs peers; read these rates with care.
| This motor carrier | Peers | |
|---|---|---|
| Crashes | 0.000 | 0.026 |
| Inspections | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| Violations | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| Critical violations | 0.00 | 0.14 |
Yearly rates from the last 24 months. Peers: Small (advisory) power units, minimal-risk cargo.
What they get cited for
0 violations · 24 monthsNo violations on the FMCSA record in the last 24 months.
Violations by quarter
Tap a category to show or hide itNo violation trend data
Crashes
24 monthsNo reportable crashes on the FMCSA record in the last 24 months.
Insurance filed with FMCSA
FMCSA record through Nov 2, 2026Today · live FMCSA check
Checking FMCSA…
- Liability (BIPD)
-
$750,000 · National Fire & Marine Insurance Companyon record since May 18, 2026 · FMCSA minimum $750,000 · no gap on FMCSA's record since Oct 2008
- Cargo filing
- not required by FMCSA (household-goods motor carriers only); the cargo policy is not on FMCSA's record
36 months to Nov 2, 2026
- One liability insurer throughout
- 3 cancellation notices filed by insurers; 3 took effect (the last May 16, 2026, replaced 2 days later)
- No gap in filed liability coverage while liability was required
Authority
- FMCSA notices resolved in time: 2
Operating authority active (FMCSA's new registration system, status since Jun 8, 2017)
FMCSA filings only, not a policy audit. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?
Every insurance filing on the FMCSA record
18 filings and 16 authority events since 2008 · FMCSA record through Nov 2, 2026
Every insurance filing on the FMCSA record
18 filings and 16 authority events since 2008 · FMCSA record through Nov 2, 2026
Newest first. Insurer names as filed. FMCSA does not publish why a filing was cancelled.
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May 18, 2026National Fire & Marine Insurance CompanyLiability · $750,000 · on fileFMCSA's new system
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May 16, 2025NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INSURANCE COMPANYLiability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2026 · cancellation notice took effecta cancellation notice effective May 18, 2026 came after the replacement; 12 months in forceFMCSA's new system
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Apr 21, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 13, 2025opened after NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO. filed a cancellation notice (effective May 16, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 16, 2024NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect12 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 19, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 20, 2024opened after NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO. filed a cancellation notice (effective May 16, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 16, 2023NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2024 · cancellation notice took effect12 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 19, 2023FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 18, 2023opened after NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO. filed a cancellation notice (effective May 16, 2023)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 16, 2022NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2023 · cancellation notice took effect12 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 19, 2022FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 16, 2022opened after HUDSON INSURANCE COMPANY filed a cancellation notice (effective May 16, 2022)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Nov 21, 2021HUDSON INSURANCE COMPANYLiability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2022 · cancellation notice took effect6 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Oct 25, 2021FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Nov 2, 2021opened after HUDSON INSURANCE COMPANY filed a cancellation notice (effective Nov 21, 2021)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 16, 2021HUDSON INSURANCE COMPANYLiability · $750,000 · ended Nov 21, 2021 · cancellation notice took effect6 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 19, 2021FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 12, 2021opened after NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO. filed a cancellation notice (effective May 16, 2021)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 16, 2020NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2021 · cancellation notice took effect12 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 27, 2020FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 19, 2020opened after NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO. filed a cancellation notice (effective May 7, 2020)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 7, 2020NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2020 · replaced by the same insurer (renewal)a cancellation notice effective May 22, 2020 came after the replacement; 1 month in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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May 17, 2019NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended Apr 7, 2020 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective May 7, 2020 came after the replacement; 11 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 22, 2019FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 20, 2019opened after NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO. filed a cancellation notice (effective May 8, 2019)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 8, 2019NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended May 17, 2019 · cancellation notice took effect1 month in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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May 25, 2018NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended Apr 8, 2019 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective May 8, 2019 came after the replacement; 10 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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May 21, 2018FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 25, 2018opened after HUDSON INSURANCE COMPANY filed a cancellation notice (effective Jun 15, 2018)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Jun 8, 2017Operating authority reinstatedL&I to May 14, 2026
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May 22, 2017Operating authority revoked (cause not stated)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 16, 2017HUDSON INSURANCE COMPANYLiability · $1,000,000 · ended May 25, 2018 · replaced by another insurera cancellation notice effective Jun 15, 2018 came after the replacement; 12 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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May 16, 2016NATIONAL LIABILITY & FIRE INS CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended May 16, 2017 · cancellation notice took effect12 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
What the terms mean
- Liability filing (BIPD):
- The insurer's certificate (form BMC-91 or 91X) that the motor carrier carries bodily-injury and property-damage liability at or above FMCSA's minimum. A BMC-82 is the same promise made by a surety bond.
- FMCSA minimum:
- $750,000 for general freight in vehicles of 10,001 lb or more; $300,000 under 10,001 lb; $1,000,000 for oil and some hazardous materials; $5,000,000 for bulk hazardous materials (49 CFR 387.9).
- Primary / excess:
- An excess filing sits on top of a primary one; together they make the total filed limit.
- Replaced:
- A new filing took over from this one. Replaced the same day is an ordinary change of insurer or renewal.
- Cancellation notice:
- Form BMC-35 (insurance) or BMC-36 (bond): the insurer tells FMCSA the filing ends in 30 days. The insurer files it whether the insurer or the motor carrier ended the policy; FMCSA does not publish the reason.
- Cancellation processed by FMCSA:
- FMCSA itself ended the filing, for example when the authority was revoked.
- Lapse:
- Time with no liability filing on FMCSA's record while the authority required one. A filing received later can be back-dated, which closes a lapse after the fact.
- Suspended for insurance:
- FMCSA suspended the operating authority because no filing meeting the minimum was on file. FMCSA's records state this reason only since May 14, 2026; before then they show a revocation notice without a cause.
- FMCSA notice resolved in time:
- Before May 14, 2026, FMCSA served a revocation notice when a required filing lapsed and dropped it when the filing was restored. The notice does not say which filing lapsed.
- Suspension notice:
- Since May 14, 2026, FMCSA serves a notice that the authority will be suspended on a date unless the missing filing is restored. The notice does not say which filing.
- Cargo filing:
- Form BMC-34. FMCSA has required it only of household-goods motor carriers and forwarders since 2011, so most motor carriers' cargo policies are not on FMCSA's record.
- Broker bond / trust fund:
- Form BMC-84 (surety bond) or BMC-85 (trust fund): the $75,000 security a broker or freight forwarder must keep on file.
- Self-insurance authority:
- FMCSA lets a few large motor carriers carry their own liability; it appears as a filing by "Self-Insured".
- Risk retention group:
- An insurer owned by its policyholders (often trucking groups). It is not covered by state insurance guaranty funds.
- FMCSA record through:
- The date of the FMCSA file this section was built from. Dockets FMCSA's new system has not yet published are shown from the legacy record, frozen on May 14, 2026.
FMCSA's record of the insurance filed for this motor carrier's operating authority (forms BMC-91/91X liability, BMC-34 cargo, BMC-84/85 broker bond or trust), not the motor carrier's full insurance program. Only for-hire motor carriers with operating authority file with FMCSA; private and intrastate-only motor carriers keep proof of insurance at their place of business, so no filing does not mean no insurance. A filed limit is the amount the insurer certified to FMCSA, which can be below the policy's full limits; cargo and bond filings are shown as on file or not because FMCSA records the federal minimum rather than the policy amount. FMCSA's new registration system (May 14, 2026) publishes a partial set of dockets; a docket not yet in it is shown from the legacy record, frozen on that date, and the live check above is today's reading. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?
Where it happens
Loading map data…
How the estimate is calculated
The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.
How the estimate is calculated
The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.
Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook
The FRED Score predicts this motor carrier's crash risk over the next 12 months — how often they're likely to crash and how severe those crashes tend to be — versus a typical fleet of its size (5 power units: 5 filed, 0 seen roadside in 24 months).
Crash Outlook vs Peer Fleet
crashes per year · same scale
Average peer fleet
0.0
Actual, per year in window
0.3
Projected, next 12 mo
0.1
0
0.25
0.5
We'd expect a typical fleet of 5 power units this active to have about 0.0 crashes a year. This motor carrier recorded 1 in its scoring window (Sep 1, 2023 → Aug 31, 2026, about 0.3 a year) — about 6.7× a typical fleet. Factoring in its inspection and violation record inside that window and the credibility of its own experience, the model projects about 0.1 over the next 12. When this motor carrier does crash, those crashes tend to be substantially more severe than average — roughly 3.3× the injury/fatal weight of a typical crash.
Fatal-crash risk: less than a 1% chance in the next 12 months
Modeled fatal-crash rate is about typical for similar fleets (likelihood of at least one fatal crash, from its exposure and safety profile).
Track Record Used
Crashes Sep 1, 2023 → Aug 31, 2026 · inspections Oct 1, 2024 → Sep 30, 2026 · data as of Oct 29, 2026
Inside that window:
0 inspections
and 1 crash.
The FMCSA record tables now hold 0 inspections and 0 crashes in that window — the SMS data moved after this grade was computed.
Why there is no grade.
Every grade but Satisfactory needs at least a 60% posterior past its cut; Satisfactory is what is left when none
passes. Here the 80% likely range (0.10×–2.40×)
still runs from below the Excellent cut (0.60×) to above the Poor cut (1.57×), so the record can't
separate a best-in-class fleet from a poor one and the page shows no grade and no FRED Score. The forecasts are
unchanged: in backtests, records this thin crash at their forecast on average but scatter about 2.6× as
widely around it as records that support a Satisfactory grade.
Confidence: Prior-only · Z = 0.00 (posterior 0.08 × exposure corroboration)
Provisional
Satisfactory — 1.04x its class rate (cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11). Class rate 0.010 crashes per power-unit-year for a 5-unit for-hire fleet (pu2_5). Violations 1.00x (driver behaviour 1.00x, out-of-service 1.00x, all violations 1.00x; 0 inspections). Experience 1.04x: 0.1 decayed crashes against 0.1 expected over 36 months (credibility 0.08, a 0.87). 80% range 0.10–2.40x. Last change: no change since the last run.
No change since the previous weekly run.
Scoring flags
Thin record (low credibility: little exposure behind the grade)
(informational — no grade effect)
What Drives This Score
1.00× = this motor carrier's class rate
FRED multiplies three factors: the class rate a fleet of this size, class and activity is expected to run, a violation relativity from its roadside record, and its own crash experience over 36 months weighted by how much exposure stands behind it. The grade is the band of the resulting relativity to class, then the screens.
Class rate
1.0 crashes per 100 power-unit-years
5 power units · 0.05 expected crashes a year
Violation relativity
1.00×
0 inspections in window
Crash experience
1.04×
0.1 decayed crashes vs 0.1 expected · credibility 0.08
Driver behaviour
Out-of-service rate
All violations
0×1× class2×+
Each sub-relativity is shrunk toward its cohort rate when the record is thin (Bühlmann credibility), so a short record reads close to 1.00×.
Relativity to class 1.04× (80% range 0.10–2.40×)
· band Satisfactory
· cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11, Critical above
FMCSA records
BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.
FMCSA records
BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.
FMCSA BASIC Scores
AB PropertyTotal Inspections
0
Driver Insp
0
Driver OOS
0
Vehicle Insp
0
Vehicle OOS
0
| BASIC | Insp w/ Viol | Measure | Alert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unsafe Driving | 0 | 0.00 | |
| HOS Compliance | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Driver Fitness | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Controlled Substances | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Vehicle Maintenance | 0 | 0.00 |