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Motor Carrier Safety Report

DOT #2715656 · O NELSON AND SON INC

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O NELSON AND SON INC

DOT# 2715656 Woodside, CA Authorized For-Hire

(650) 851-3600 3345 Tripp Road, Woodside CA 94062

2 power units · all owned 2 drivers 95k mi/yr · ~48k per unit

Intrastate Only

Not enough record

Graded once the record supports it

11 yrs history · 6 roadside inspections

Checking FMCSA…

Fleet & equipment

Power units: 2
Drivers · CDL: 2 · 0
Annual miles: 95k

Type	Own	Total
Trucks	2	2
Tractors	0	0
Trailers	1	1

Registration

Registered: 06-12-2015 (11 yrs)
MCS-150 Update: 09-26-2023
FRED Score Date: Nov 08, 2026
Officer: PETE NELSON
Officer: HAL NELSON

Cargo

27.0

low risk

Building Materials Construction

Estimated from the commodity types reported to FMCSA, not from loss history or the true cargo mix.

Advisory Grade — Outside the Ranked Book

Fleets under 10 power units are graded against their size cohort (pu2_5) for reference, but sit outside the 10+ power-unit underwriting book the FRED rank covers.

Stale MCS-150 Filing

This motor carrier has not updated its MCS-150 in over 3 years. Reported mileage and fleet size may be outdated.

Intrastate operation

Runs within California only. Intrastate fleets in California are inspected about 1 a year for every 4 trucks; interstate fleets, about 1 a year for every 2 trucks. So this record rests mainly on crash reports, which states file for intrastate trucks too, and few inspections are ordinary here.

Not enough record to grade yet.

6 inspections and no crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months fit anything from an Excellent fleet to a Poor one.

Similar fleets: intrastate fleets of 2–5 trucks with the same kind of operation, years in business and amount of road activity. Compared using its own crash record and roadside inspections.

80% likely range 0.08×–2.06×

ExcellentStrongSatisf.SatisfactoryMarginalPoorCritical

▲ Similar fleets 1.0×

Expected crashes, next 12 months

0.0 vs 0.1 for similar fleets

Most likely none

This motor carrier

0.0

Similar fleets

0.1

A record this thin can't pin that down: about a 1-in-6 chance it runs at Poor-level crash rates.

Ask

Loss runs for the last 3 years, and confirm the fleet is operating at its filed size (2 power units).

What the record shows

Crash history

betterworse

Too little record to tell. 0 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months; similar fleets have about 0.1 a year.

Roadside inspections

betterworse

Mixed. Out-of-service orders 1.31× the rate expected for its inspections, but unsafe-driving and hours-of-service violations 0.62×. Together they move its crash estimate -4%: roadside results weigh far less than crash history. It's inspected more often than most fleets its size.

Worth a closer look

From the FMCSA record. The estimate already counts the safety items; insurance filings and links to other motor carriers are context only.

Driver qualification

2 out-of-service violations against drivers: 2 no valid CDL (Feb 2025 – Mar 2025).

Ask: driver qualification files and hiring standards.

Strengths

No reportable crashes in 24 months.

Track record

FMCSA record, Feb 2025 – Feb 2026 · grade scored on Oct 1, 2023 → Oct 31, 2026

Crashes

0 fatalities · 0 injuries · 0 tow-aways

Inspections

50% clean (no violations)

Vehicle out-of-service

16.7%

1 of 6

Intrastate avg 30.6%

Driver out-of-service

33.3%

2 of 6

Intrastate avg 8.5%

Violations

3 out-of-service

Inspected more often than intrastate fleets of 2–5 trucks in California (about 1 in 24 months would be typical; 63% of them had none).

Inspections per quarter With an out-of-service order

vs 2,118 peer fleets

	This motor carrier	Peers
Crashes	0.000	0.015
Inspections	1.75	0.45
Violations	1.50	0.51
Critical violations	1.50	0.07

	This motor carrier	Peers
Crashes	0.000	0.037
Inspections	3.68	1.08
Violations	3.16	1.20
Critical violations	3.16	0.18

Yearly rates from the last 24 months. Peers: intrastate fleets, Small (advisory) power units, low-risk cargo.

What they get cited for

4 violations · 24 months

Driver fitness No alert

2 · 2 OOS

No valid CDL 2
Vehicle maintenance No alert

2 · 1 OOS

Tires 2
Unsafe driving No alert

0
Hours of service No alert

0
Drugs & alcohol No alert

0

Out-of-service violations “No alert” = under FMCSA's BASIC intervention threshold

Violations by quarter

Tap a category to show or hide it

No violation trend data

Crashes

24 months

No reportable crashes on the FMCSA record in the last 24 months.

Insurance filed with FMCSA

Today · live FMCSA check

Checking FMCSA…

No MC, FF or MX docket on FMCSA's registration for this motor carrier, so there are no insurance filings to show. FMCSA collects filings only from registered for-hire authorities; other motor carriers keep proof of insurance (MCS-90) at their place of business.

FMCSA filings only, not a policy audit. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?

Where it happens

Loading map data…

Inspections by state

California (HQ) 6

How the estimate is calculated

The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

The FRED Score predicts this motor carrier's crash risk over the next 12 months — how often they're likely to crash and how severe those crashes tend to be — versus a typical fleet of its size (2 power units: 2 filed, 2 seen roadside in 24 months).

Crash Outlook vs Peer Fleet

crashes per year · same scale

Average peer fleet

0.1

Actual, per year in window

0.0

Projected, next 12 mo

0.0

0 0.25 0.5

We'd expect a typical fleet of 2 power units this active to have about 0.1 crashes a year. This motor carrier recorded 0 in its scoring window (Oct 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026, about 0.0 a year) — fewer than a typical fleet. Factoring in its inspection and violation record inside that window and the credibility of its own experience, the model projects about 0.0 over the next 12.

Fatal-crash risk: less than a 1% chance in the next 12 months

Modeled fatal-crash rate is about typical for similar fleets (likelihood of at least one fatal crash, from its exposure and safety profile).

Track Record Used

Crashes Oct 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026 · inspections Nov 1, 2024 → Oct 31, 2026 · data as of Nov 4, 2026

Inside that window: 6 inspections and 0 crashes.

Why there is no grade. Every grade but Satisfactory needs at least a 60% posterior past its cut; Satisfactory is what is left when none passes. Here the 80% likely range (0.08×–2.06×) still runs from below the Excellent cut (0.60×) to above the Poor cut (1.57×), so the record can't separate a best-in-class fleet from a poor one and the page shows no grade and no FRED Score. The forecasts are unchanged: in backtests, records this thin crash at their forecast on average but scatter about 2.6× as widely around it as records that support a Satisfactory grade.

Confidence: Prior-only · Z = 0.08 Provisional

Satisfactory — 0.88x its class rate (cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11). Class rate 0.028 crashes per power-unit-year for a 2-unit for-hire fleet (pu2_5). Violations 0.96x (driver behaviour 0.62x, out-of-service 1.31x, all violations 0.86x; 6 inspections). Experience 0.92x: 0.0 decayed crashes against 0.1 expected over 36 months (credibility 0.08, a 0.94). 80% range 0.08–2.06x. Last change: older crashes rolling off.

Since the previous weekly run the risk relativity moved -0.1%, driven by older crashes rolling off the 36-month ramp.

Scoring flags MCS-150 filing more than 3 years old Intrastate operation — rated against intrastate fleets (a class crash rate about 23% lower); roadside inspections are rarer, so the record rests more on crashes Thin record (low credibility: little exposure behind the grade)

What Drives This Score

1.00× = this motor carrier's class rate

FRED multiplies three factors: the class rate a fleet of this size, class and activity is expected to run, a violation relativity from its roadside record, and its own crash experience over 36 months weighted by how much exposure stands behind it. The grade is the band of the resulting relativity to class, then the screens.

Class rate

2.8 crashes per 100 power-unit-years

2 power units · 0.06 expected crashes a year

Violation relativity

0.96×

6 inspections in window

Crash experience

0.92×

0.0 decayed crashes vs 0.1 expected · credibility 0.08

Driver behaviour

0.62×

Out-of-service rate

1.31×

All violations

0.86×

0×1× class2×+

Each sub-relativity is shrunk toward its cohort rate when the record is thin (Bühlmann credibility), so a short record reads close to 1.00×.

Relativity to class 0.88× (80% range 0.08–2.06×) · band Satisfactory · cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11, Critical above

Full methodology · Scoring white paper · Validation study

FMCSA records

BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.

FMCSA BASIC Scores

C Property

Total Inspections

Driver Insp

Driver OOS

Vehicle Insp

Vehicle OOS

BASIC	Insp w/ Viol	Measure
Unsafe Driving	0	0.00
HOS Compliance	0	0.00
Driver Fitness	2	2.50
Controlled Substances	2	2.50
Vehicle Maintenance	2	3.25

SMS record data is sourced from FMCSA's Safety Measurement System (03-MAR-25 – 28-JUL-25) and may cover a different time window than the scoring window used for the FRED grade (Oct 1, 2023 → Oct 31, 2026). Counts here may differ from the grade's in-window counts.

O NELSON AND SON INC

Fleet & equipment

Registration

Cargo

Worth a closer look

Track record

What they get cited for

Violations by quarter

Crashes

Insurance filed with FMCSA

Where it happens

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

FMCSA BASIC Scores

FMCSA Inspection Records

FMCSA Violation Records

O NELSON AND SON INC

FMCSA Live Status

Fleet & equipment

Registration

Cargo

Worth a closer look

Track record

What they get cited for

Violations by quarter

Crashes

Insurance filed with FMCSA

Where it happens

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

FMCSA BASIC Scores

FMCSA Inspection Records

FMCSA Violation Records