OTC EXPRESS LLC
(614) 687-9857
baybakol2020@gmail.com
5419 Ravine Bluff Ct, Columbus OH 43231
5
tractors
5 drivers
675k mi/yr · ~135k per unit
Not enough record
Graded once the record supports it
9 yrs history · 22 roadside inspections
FMCSA Live Status
Checking FMCSA…
Fleet & equipment
- Power units
- 5
- Drivers · CDL
- 5 · 5
- Annual miles
- 675k
| Type | Own | Term | Trip | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trucks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tractors | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Trailers | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Registration
- Registered
- 11-27-2017 (9 yrs)
- MCS-150 Update
- 04-30-2025
- FRED Score Date
- Nov 08, 2026
- Officer
- ABDIKARIM IBRAHIM
Cargo
64.0
medium risk
General Freight
- High-Risk Cargo
- General Freight
Note: "General Freight" is a catch-all; the actual cargo mix and its risk may differ.
Estimated from the commodity types reported to FMCSA, not from loss history or the true cargo mix.
Advisory Grade — Outside the Ranked Book
Fleets under 10 power units are graded against their size cohort (pu6_9) for reference, but sit outside the 10+ power-unit underwriting book the FRED rank covers.
Not enough record to grade yet.
22 inspections and no crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months fit anything from an Excellent fleet to a Poor one. It leans better than similar fleets (about a 70% chance), but not by enough to grade.
Similar fleets: interstate fleets of 6–9 trucks with the same kind of operation, years in business and amount of road activity. Compared using its own crash record and roadside inspections.
80% likely range 0.27×–1.60×
ExcellentStrongSatisf.SatisfactoryMarginalPoorCritical
▲ Similar fleets 1.0×
Expected crashes, next 12 months
0.4 vs 0.4 for similar fleets
Likely 0–1 crashes
This motor carrier
0.4
Similar fleets
0.4
A record this thin can't pin that down: about a 1-in-9 chance it runs at Poor-level crash rates.
Ask
Loss runs for the last 3 years, and confirm the fleet is operating at its filed size (5 power units).
What the record shows
Crash history
betterworse
Leans better, not yet proven. 0 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months; similar fleets have about 0.4 a year.
Roadside inspections
betterworse
Much worse than peers. Out-of-service orders 2.19× and violations 1.98× the rate expected for its inspections. Together they move its crash estimate +11%: roadside results weigh far less than crash history. It's inspected more often than most fleets its size.
Worth a closer look
From the FMCSA record. The estimate already counts the safety items; insurance filings and links to other motor carriers are context only.
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FMCSA suspension notice pendingFMCSA served a notice on Oct 10, 2026: the operating authority will be suspended on Nov 9, 2026 unless the missing filing is restored. The notice does not say which filing. Not in the grade.Ask: which filing lapsed and whether it has been refiled.
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Drivers put out of service4 out-of-service violations against drivers: 3 hours of service, 1 no valid CDL (Mar 2025 – Sep 2026).Ask: driver supervision and dispatch practices.
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Brakes and lightsBrakes are 25 of 59 violations (42%). Brake or light defects led to 8 out-of-service orders.Ask: the preventive-maintenance schedule and shop records.
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Vehicle out-of-service rate62.5% of vehicle inspections end out of service vs 22.3% nationally (10 of 16). Across all its inspections, out-of-service orders run 2.19× what's expected for where and how it's inspected.
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Driver out-of-service rate18.2% of driver inspections end out of service vs 6.7% nationally (4 of 22). Across all its inspections, out-of-service orders run 2.19× what's expected for where and how it's inspected.
Strengths
- No reportable crashes in 24 months.
- No FMCSA BASIC alerts.
Track record
FMCSA record, Sep 2024 – Sep 2026
· grade scored on Oct 1, 2023 → Oct 31, 2026
Crashes
0
0 fatalities · 0 injuries · 0 tow-aways
Inspections
22
32% clean (no violations)
Vehicle out-of-service
62.5%
10 of 16
National avg 22.3%
Driver out-of-service
18.2%
4 of 22
National avg 6.7%
Violations
59
17 out-of-service
Inspected more often than interstate fleets of 2–5 trucks in Ohio (about 6 in 24 months would be typical; 37% of them had none).
Inspections per quarter
With an out-of-service order
Sep 25–30, 2024 isn't charted (too little of that quarter is on file); the 24-month totals include its 1 inspection.
vs 57,530 peer fleets
| This motor carrier | Peers | |
|---|---|---|
| Crashes | 0.000 | 0.043 |
| Inspections | 2.90 | 1.57 |
| Violations | 5.90 | 1.56 |
| Critical violations | 0.80 | 0.29 |
Yearly rates from the last 24 months. Peers: interstate fleets, Small (advisory) power units, medium-risk cargo.
What they get cited for
59 violations · 24 months-
Vehicle maintenance No alert54 · 13 OOSBrakes 25 · Lights 11 · Tires 6 · Cargo securement 2 · Steering & suspension 2 · 8 more
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Hours of service No alert3 · 3 OOSNo log 3
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Unsafe driving No alert1 · 0 OOSOther 1
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Driver fitness No alert1 · 1 OOSNo valid CDL 1
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Drugs & alcohol No alert0
Out-of-service violations
“No alert” = under FMCSA's BASIC intervention threshold
Violations by quarter
Tap a category to show or hide itNo violation trend data
Crashes
24 monthsNo reportable crashes on the FMCSA record in the last 24 months.
Insurance filed with FMCSA
FMCSA record through Nov 7, 2026Today · live FMCSA check
Checking FMCSA…
- Liability (BIPD)
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$750,000 · Universal Casualty Risk Retention Group, Inc (risk retention group)on record since Nov 6, 2026 · FMCSA minimum $750,000 · no gap on FMCSA's record since Sep 20231 other liability filing also on file
- Cargo filing
- not required by FMCSA (household-goods motor carriers only); the cargo policy is not on FMCSA's record
36 months to Nov 7, 2026
- 4 liability insurers on FMCSA's record, 4 changes: TECHNOLOGY INSURANCE COMPANY, INC → Universal Casualty Risk Retention Group, Inc (May 2026); UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC → TECHNOLOGY INSURANCE COMPANY, INC (Dec 2025); ACCREDITED SURETY AND CASUALTY COMPANY, INC. → UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (Dec 2024)
- 11 cancellation notices filed by insurers; 7 took effect (the last Dec 13, 2025, replaced the same day); 4 replaced before they took effect
- No gap in filed liability coverage while liability was required
Authority
- FMCSA notice served Oct 10, 2026: the operating authority will be suspended on Nov 9, 2026 unless the missing filing is restored (the notice does not say which filing). FMCSA's new registration system launched May 14, 2026 and has recorded some insurance suspensions and requirement changes in error; confirm with the insurer or motor carrier before acting.
- FMCSA notices resolved in time: 9
Operating authority active (FMCSA's new registration system, status since Dec 18, 2017)
FMCSA filings only, not a policy audit. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?
Every insurance filing on the FMCSA record
20 filings and 18 authority events since 2017 · FMCSA record through Nov 7, 2026
Every insurance filing on the FMCSA record
20 filings and 18 authority events since 2017 · FMCSA record through Nov 7, 2026
Newest first. Insurer names as filed. FMCSA does not publish why a filing was cancelled.
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Nov 6, 2026Universal Casualty Risk Retention Group, Inc (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · on fileFMCSA's new system
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Oct 10, 2026FMCSA suspension notice for the operating authority, effective Nov 9, 2026pending on FMCSA's recordFMCSA's new system
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Sep 3, 2026Universal Casualty Risk Retention Group, Inc (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · on file · cancellation notice effective Nov 9, 20262 months in forceFMCSA's new system
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Aug 6, 2026Universal Casualty Risk Retention Group, Inc (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Sep 16, 2026 · superseded by the same policy1 month in forceFMCSA's new system
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May 4, 2026Universal Casualty Risk Retention Group, Inc (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Aug 17, 2026 · replaced by the same insurer (renewal)3 months in forceFMCSA's new system
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Apr 9, 2026FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 5, 2026opened after TECHNOLOGY INSURANCE COMPANY, INC filed a cancellation notice (effective May 6, 2026)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Dec 13, 2025TECHNOLOGY INSURANCE COMPANY, INCLiability · $750,000 · ended May 4, 2026 · replaced by another insurera cancellation notice effective May 6, 2026 came after the replacement; 5 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Nov 17, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Dec 12, 2025opened after UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC filed a cancellation notice (effective Dec 13, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Oct 27, 2025UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Dec 13, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Oct 1, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Oct 28, 2025opened after UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC filed a cancellation notice (effective Sep 25, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Sep 11, 2025UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Oct 28, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Aug 29, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Sep 12, 2025opened after UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC filed a cancellation notice (effective Sep 25, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Jul 25, 2025UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Sep 11, 2025 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective Sep 25, 2025 came after the replacement; 2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Jul 1, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Jul 28, 2025opened after UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC filed a cancellation notice (effective Jul 28, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 28, 2025UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Jul 25, 2025 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective Jul 28, 2025 came after the replacement; 2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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May 1, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 22, 2025opened after UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC filed a cancellation notice (effective May 28, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Mar 28, 2025UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended May 28, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Mar 3, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Mar 27, 2025opened after UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC filed a cancellation notice (effective Feb 28, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Feb 28, 2025UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Mar 28, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect1 month in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Dec 13, 2024UNIVERSAL CASUALTY RISK RETENTION GROUP, INC (risk retention group)Liability · $750,000 · ended Feb 28, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect3 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Nov 18, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Dec 13, 2024opened after ACCREDITED SURETY AND CASUALTY COMPANY, INC. filed a cancellation notice (effective Nov 14, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Oct 17, 2024ACCREDITED SURETY AND CASUALTY COMPANY, INC.Liability · $750,000 · ended Dec 13, 2024 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Feb 14, 2024ACCREDITED SURETY AND CASUALTY COMPANY, INC.Liability · $750,000 · ended Oct 17, 2024 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective Nov 14, 2024 came after the replacement; 8 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Jan 18, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Feb 14, 2024opened after PROGRESSIVE PREFERRED INSURANCE CO. filed a cancellation notice (effective Feb 14, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Sep 12, 2023PROGRESSIVE PREFERRED INSURANCE CO.Liability · $750,000 · ended Feb 14, 2024 · cancellation notice took effect5 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
What the terms mean
- Liability filing (BIPD):
- The insurer's certificate (form BMC-91 or 91X) that the motor carrier carries bodily-injury and property-damage liability at or above FMCSA's minimum. A BMC-82 is the same promise made by a surety bond.
- FMCSA minimum:
- $750,000 for general freight in vehicles of 10,001 lb or more; $300,000 under 10,001 lb; $1,000,000 for oil and some hazardous materials; $5,000,000 for bulk hazardous materials (49 CFR 387.9).
- Primary / excess:
- An excess filing sits on top of a primary one; together they make the total filed limit.
- Replaced:
- A new filing took over from this one. Replaced the same day is an ordinary change of insurer or renewal.
- Cancellation notice:
- Form BMC-35 (insurance) or BMC-36 (bond): the insurer tells FMCSA the filing ends in 30 days. The insurer files it whether the insurer or the motor carrier ended the policy; FMCSA does not publish the reason.
- Cancellation processed by FMCSA:
- FMCSA itself ended the filing, for example when the authority was revoked.
- Lapse:
- Time with no liability filing on FMCSA's record while the authority required one. A filing received later can be back-dated, which closes a lapse after the fact.
- Suspended for insurance:
- FMCSA suspended the operating authority because no filing meeting the minimum was on file. FMCSA's records state this reason only since May 14, 2026; before then they show a revocation notice without a cause.
- FMCSA notice resolved in time:
- Before May 14, 2026, FMCSA served a revocation notice when a required filing lapsed and dropped it when the filing was restored. The notice does not say which filing lapsed.
- Suspension notice:
- Since May 14, 2026, FMCSA serves a notice that the authority will be suspended on a date unless the missing filing is restored. The notice does not say which filing.
- Cargo filing:
- Form BMC-34. FMCSA has required it only of household-goods motor carriers and forwarders since 2011, so most motor carriers' cargo policies are not on FMCSA's record.
- Broker bond / trust fund:
- Form BMC-84 (surety bond) or BMC-85 (trust fund): the $75,000 security a broker or freight forwarder must keep on file.
- Self-insurance authority:
- FMCSA lets a few large motor carriers carry their own liability; it appears as a filing by "Self-Insured".
- Risk retention group:
- An insurer owned by its policyholders (often trucking groups). It is not covered by state insurance guaranty funds.
- FMCSA record through:
- The date of the FMCSA file this section was built from. Dockets FMCSA's new system has not yet published are shown from the legacy record, frozen on May 14, 2026.
FMCSA's record of the insurance filed for this motor carrier's operating authority (forms BMC-91/91X liability, BMC-34 cargo, BMC-84/85 broker bond or trust), not the motor carrier's full insurance program. Only for-hire motor carriers with operating authority file with FMCSA; private and intrastate-only motor carriers keep proof of insurance at their place of business, so no filing does not mean no insurance. A filed limit is the amount the insurer certified to FMCSA, which can be below the policy's full limits; cargo and bond filings are shown as on file or not because FMCSA records the federal minimum rather than the policy amount. FMCSA's new registration system (May 14, 2026) publishes a partial set of dockets; a docket not yet in it is shown from the legacy record, frozen on that date, and the live check above is today's reading. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?
Where it happens
Loading map data…
Inspections by state
- Kentucky 3
- Ohio (HQ) 3
- Texas 3
- Indiana 2
- Minnesota 2
- Pennsylvania 2
- Arkansas 1
- Florida 1
14% of inspections were in its home state.
How the estimate is calculated
The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.
How the estimate is calculated
The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.
Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook
The FRED Score predicts this motor carrier's crash risk over the next 12 months — how often they're likely to crash and how severe those crashes tend to be — versus a typical fleet of its size (9 power units: 5 filed, 9 seen roadside in 24 months).
Crash Outlook vs Peer Fleet
crashes per year · same scale
Average peer fleet
0.4
Actual, per year in window
0.0
Projected, next 12 mo
0.4
0
0.25
0.5
We'd expect a typical fleet of 9 power units this active to have about 0.4 crashes a year (sized from the 9 units seen roadside; 5 filed). This motor carrier recorded 0 in its scoring window (Oct 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026, about 0.0 a year) — fewer than a typical fleet. Factoring in its inspection and violation record inside that window and the credibility of its own experience, the model projects about 0.4 over the next 12.
Fatal-crash risk: about 1% chance in the next 12 months
Modeled fatal-crash rate is about typical for similar fleets (likelihood of at least one fatal crash, from its exposure and safety profile).
Track Record Used
Crashes Oct 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026 · inspections Nov 1, 2024 → Oct 31, 2026 · data as of Nov 4, 2026
Inside that window:
18 inspections
and 0 crashes.
Outside the scoring window
on the FMCSA record · not in this grade
Aged out — crashes before Oct 1, 2023, inspections before Nov 1, 2024
- 4 inspections with no out-of-service result
Why there is no grade.
Every grade but Satisfactory needs at least a 60% posterior past its cut; Satisfactory is what is left when none
passes. Here the 80% likely range (0.27×–1.60×)
still runs from below the Excellent cut (0.60×) to above the Poor cut (1.57×), so the record can't
separate a best-in-class fleet from a poor one and the page shows no grade and no FRED Score. The forecasts are
unchanged: in backtests, records this thin crash at their forecast on average but scatter about 2.6× as
widely around it as records that support a Satisfactory grade.
Confidence: Low · Z = 0.22
Satisfactory — 0.86x its class rate (cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11). Class rate 0.046 crashes per power-unit-year for a 9-unit for-hire fleet (pu6_9). Violations 1.11x (driver behaviour 0.86x, out-of-service 2.19x, all violations 1.98x; 18 inspections). Experience 0.78x: 0.0 decayed crashes against 0.7 expected over 36 months (credibility 0.22, a 2.46). 80% range 0.27–1.60x. Fleet sized at 9 units from roadside VINs (5 filed). Last change: the violation record.
Since the previous weekly run the risk relativity moved +1.0%, driven by the violation record.
Scoring flags
Thin record (low credibility: little exposure behind the grade)
What Drives This Score
1.00× = this motor carrier's class rate
FRED multiplies three factors: the class rate a fleet of this size, class and activity is expected to run, a violation relativity from its roadside record, and its own crash experience over 36 months weighted by how much exposure stands behind it. The grade is the band of the resulting relativity to class, then the screens.
Class rate
4.6 crashes per 100 power-unit-years
9 power units (5 filed, 9 seen roadside) · 0.42 expected crashes a year
Violation relativity
1.11×
18 inspections in window
Crash experience
0.78×
0.0 decayed crashes vs 0.7 expected · credibility 0.22
Driver behaviour
Out-of-service rate
All violations
0×1× class2×+
Each sub-relativity is shrunk toward its cohort rate when the record is thin (Bühlmann credibility), so a short record reads close to 1.00×.
Relativity to class 0.86× (80% range 0.27–1.60×)
· band Satisfactory
· cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11, Critical above
FMCSA records
BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.
FMCSA records
BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.
FMCSA BASIC Scores
AB PropertyTotal Inspections
22
Driver Insp
22
Driver OOS
4
Vehicle Insp
16
Vehicle OOS
10
| BASIC | Insp w/ Viol | Measure | Alert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unsafe Driving | 1 | 0.14 | |
| HOS Compliance | 3 | 0.53 | |
| Driver Fitness | 1 | 0.73 | |
| Controlled Substances | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Vehicle Maintenance | 14 | 11.46 |
SMS record data is sourced from FMCSA's Safety Measurement System (02-SEP-26 – 30-SEP-24) and may cover a different time window than the scoring window used for the FRED grade (Oct 1, 2023 → Oct 31, 2026). Counts here may differ from the grade's in-window counts.