ALAN EXPRESS LLC
(980) 242-7470
alanexpress99@gmail.com
2019 Clover Hill Rd, Indian Trail NC 28079
32
tractors · all owned
14 drivers
Not enough record
Graded once the record supports it
5 yrs history · 49 roadside inspections
FMCSA Live Status
Checking FMCSA…
Fleet & equipment
- Power units
- 32
- Drivers · CDL
- 14 · 14
- Annual miles
- 575k unreliable
| Type | Own | Term | Trip | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trucks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tractors | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Trailers | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Registration
- Registered
- 04-24-2021 (5 yrs)
- MCS-150 Update
- 06-11-2025
- FRED Score Date
- Nov 08, 2026
- Officer
- RAFAEL MAMEDOV
Cargo
67.1
medium risk
Household Goods
Motor Vehicles
Metal: Sheets/Coils/Rolls
Meat
Refrigerated Food
General Freight
Building Materials
Fresh Produce
Beverages
Paper Products
Construction
Garbage/Refuse
- High-Risk Cargo
- Motor Vehicles, General Freight, Household Goods, Refrigerated Food, Meat
Note: "General Freight" is a catch-all; the actual cargo mix and its risk may differ.
Estimated from the commodity types reported to FMCSA, not from loss history or the true cargo mix.
Mileage Unreliable
MCS-150 annual mileage appears too low for fleet size given observed activity. The per-100k-mile rate benchmarks on this page are excluded; the FRED grade does not use mileage (crash exposure is power-unit-years, violation exposure is inspection counts).
Not enough record to grade yet.
49 inspections and 2 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months fit anything from an Excellent fleet to a Poor one.
Similar fleets: interstate fleets of 20–49 trucks with the same kind of operation, years in business and amount of road activity. Compared using its own crash record and roadside inspections.
80% likely range 0.48×–1.87×
ExcellentStrongSatisf.SatisfactoryMarginalPoorCritical
▲ Similar fleets 1.0×
Expected crashes, next 12 months
0.8 vs 0.8 for similar fleets
Likely 0–2 crashes
This motor carrier
0.8
Similar fleets
0.8
A record this thin can't pin that down: about a 1-in-5 chance it runs at Poor-level crash rates.
Ask
Loss runs for the last 3 years, and confirm the fleet is operating at its filed size (32 power units).
What the record shows
Crash history
betterworse
About typical. 2 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months (about 1 a year), including 1 with injuries; similar fleets have about 0.8 a year.
Roadside inspections
betterworse
Worse than peers. Unsafe-driving and hours-of-service violations 1.90× and violations 1.66× the rate expected for its inspections. Together they move its crash estimate +14%: roadside results weigh far less than crash history.
Worth a closer look
From the FMCSA record. The estimate already counts the safety items; insurance filings and links to other motor carriers are context only.
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Injury crashes1 crash with 1 person hurt in 24 months.Ask: claim status and driver history for these crashes.
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Drivers put out of service4 out-of-service violations against drivers: 2 hours of service, 1 no valid CDL, 1 medical certificate (Sep 2025 – Apr 2026).Ask: driver supervision and dispatch practices.
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Brakes and lightsBrakes are 27 of 72 violations (38%). Brake or light defects led to 7 out-of-service orders.Ask: the preventive-maintenance schedule and shop records.
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Falsified logs2 false-log violations in 24 months.Ask: how hours are audited against ELD and fuel records.
Strengths
- No FMCSA BASIC alerts.
Data flags
-
Dangerous driving: 1
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Unreliable reported mileageThe motor carrier's self-reported annual mileage (MCS-150) looks implausible, so exposure- and mileage-based figures may be distorted.
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Estimated mileageNo usable mileage was reported, so exposure was estimated from similar motor carriers. Mileage-based metrics here are approximate.
Track record
FMCSA record, Sep 2024 – Sep 2026
· grade scored on Oct 1, 2023 → Oct 31, 2026
Crashes
2
0 fatalities · 1 injury · 0 tow-aways
Inspections
49
43% clean (no violations)
Vehicle out-of-service
27.6%
8 of 29
National avg 22.3%
Driver out-of-service
10.2%
5 of 49
National avg 6.7%
Violations
72
15 out-of-service
Inspected about as often as interstate fleets of 20–49 trucks in North Carolina (about 45 in 24 months would be typical).
Inspections per quarter
With an out-of-service order
Sep 25–30, 2024 isn't charted (too little of that quarter is on file); the 24-month totals include its 1 inspection.
vs 10,543 peer fleets
| This motor carrier | Peers | |
|---|---|---|
| Crashes | 0.031 | 0.029 |
| Inspections | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| Violations | 1.12 | 0.78 |
| Critical violations | 0.14 | 0.15 |
Yearly rates from the last 24 months. Peers: interstate fleets, 20–49 power units, medium-risk cargo.
What they get cited for
72 violations · 24 months-
Vehicle maintenance No alert54 · 11 OOSBrakes 27 · Lights 11 · Tires 4 · Cargo securement 1 · Wheels & hubs 1 · 10 more
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Hours of service No alert11 · 2 OOSLogbook / ELD paperwork 6 · No log 3 · False log 2
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Unsafe driving No alert5 · 0 OOSReckless / lane 1 · Speeding 1 · Other 3
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Driver fitness No alert2 · 2 OOSMedical certificate 1 · No valid CDL 1
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Drugs & alcohol No alert0
Out-of-service violations
“No alert” = under FMCSA's BASIC intervention threshold
Violations by quarter
Tap a category to show or hide itNo violation trend data
Crashes
24 months-
Nov32025North CarolinaInjury · 1 person hurtDark - not lighted, two-way trafficway divided unprotected median.
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Mar32025New MexicoProperty damage onlyBlowing sand soil dirt or snow, two-way trafficway divided positive barrier. Citation issued.
1 of the 2 crashes hurt someone but killed no one.
Insurance filed with FMCSA
FMCSA record through Nov 7, 2026Today · live FMCSA check
Checking FMCSA…
- Liability (BIPD)
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$750,000 · Hoxbridge Insurance Company, Inc.on record since Aug 5, 2026 · FMCSA minimum $750,000 · no gap on FMCSA's record since May 2021
- Cargo filing
- not required by FMCSA (household-goods motor carriers only); the cargo policy is not on FMCSA's record
36 months to Nov 7, 2026
- 4 liability insurers on FMCSA's record, 3 changes: PROGRESSIVE SOUTHEASTERN INSURANCE COMPANY → Hoxbridge Insurance Company, Inc. (Jun 2026); INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANY → PROGRESSIVE SOUTHEASTERN INSURANCE COMPANY (Dec 2025); BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPAN → INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANY (Dec 2024)
- 15 cancellation notices filed by insurers; 9 took effect (the last Aug 5, 2026, replaced the same day); 6 replaced before they took effect
Authority
- FMCSA's record shows a suspension of the operating authority on Aug 5, 2026 while a filing by Hoxbridge Insurance Company, Inc. was in force; FMCSA has corrected suspensions its new system issued in error. FMCSA's new registration system launched May 14, 2026 and has recorded some insurance suspensions and requirement changes in error; confirm with the insurer or motor carrier before acting.
- FMCSA notices resolved in time: 11
Operating authority active (FMCSA's new registration system, status since Aug 20, 2026)
FMCSA filings only, not a policy audit. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?
Every insurance filing on the FMCSA record
20 filings and 18 authority events since 2021 · FMCSA record through Nov 7, 2026
Every insurance filing on the FMCSA record
20 filings and 18 authority events since 2021 · FMCSA record through Nov 7, 2026
Newest first. Insurer names as filed. FMCSA does not publish why a filing was cancelled.
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Aug 20, 2026Operating authority reinstatedFMCSA's new system
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Aug 5, 2026Hoxbridge Insurance Company, Inc.Liability · $750,000 · on fileFMCSA's new system
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Aug 5, 2026Operating authority suspended: no insurance filing meeting the FMCSA minimum on filea liability filing was in force on FMCSA's record that dayFMCSA's new system
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Jun 5, 2026Hoxbridge Insurance Company, Inc.Liability · $750,000 · ended Aug 5, 2026 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceFMCSA's new system
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Mar 25, 2026PROGRESSIVE SOUTHEASTERN INSURANCE COMPANYLiability · $1,000,000 · ended Jun 4, 2026 · cancellation notice took effecta cancellation notice effective Aug 5, 2026 came after the replacement; 2 months in forceFMCSA's new system
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Feb 26, 2026FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Mar 18, 2026opened after PROGRESSIVE SOUTHEASTERN INSURANCE COMPANY filed a cancellation notice (effective Mar 25, 2026)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Dec 31, 2025PROGRESSIVE SOUTHEASTERN INSURANCE COMPANYLiability · $1,000,000 · ended Mar 25, 2026 · cancellation notice took effect3 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Dec 3, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Jan 2, 2026opened after INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANY filed a cancellation notice (effective Dec 30, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Oct 29, 2025INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANYLiability · $1,000,000 · ended Dec 30, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Oct 2, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Oct 30, 2025opened after INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANY filed a cancellation notice (effective Oct 29, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Jul 31, 2025INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANYLiability · $1,000,000 · ended Oct 29, 2025 · cancellation notice took effect3 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 29, 2025INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANYLiability · $1,000,000 · ended Jul 31, 2025 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective Sep 2, 2025 came after the replacement; 3 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 9, 2025FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Apr 30, 2025opened after INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANY filed a cancellation notice (effective May 6, 2025)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Dec 30, 2024INCLINE CASUALTY COMPANYLiability · $1,000,000 · ended Apr 29, 2025 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective May 6, 2025 came after the replacement; 4 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Dec 3, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Dec 31, 2024opened after BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPAN filed a cancellation notice (effective Dec 30, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Nov 13, 2024BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPANLiability · $1,000,000 · ended Dec 30, 2024 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Oct 21, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Nov 14, 2024opened after BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPAN filed a cancellation notice (effective Nov 16, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Sep 16, 2024BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPANLiability · $750,000 · ended Nov 13, 2024 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective Nov 16, 2024 came after the replacement; 2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Aug 21, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Sep 17, 2024opened after BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPAN filed a cancellation notice (effective Sep 17, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Jul 15, 2024BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPANLiability · $750,000 · ended Sep 17, 2024 · cancellation notice took effect2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Jun 20, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped Jul 16, 2024opened after BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPAN filed a cancellation notice (effective Jul 17, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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May 15, 2024BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPANLiability · $750,000 · ended Jul 15, 2024 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective Jul 17, 2024 came after the replacement; 2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 22, 2024FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 16, 2024opened after BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPAN filed a cancellation notice (effective May 17, 2024)L&I to May 14, 2026
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Apr 4, 2024Operating authority reinstatedL&I to May 14, 2026
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Mar 26, 2024BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOMESTATE INSURANCE COMPANLiability · $750,000 · ended May 15, 2024 · superseded by the same policya cancellation notice effective May 17, 2024 came after the replacement; 2 months in forceL&I to May 14, 2026
What the terms mean
- Liability filing (BIPD):
- The insurer's certificate (form BMC-91 or 91X) that the motor carrier carries bodily-injury and property-damage liability at or above FMCSA's minimum. A BMC-82 is the same promise made by a surety bond.
- FMCSA minimum:
- $750,000 for general freight in vehicles of 10,001 lb or more; $300,000 under 10,001 lb; $1,000,000 for oil and some hazardous materials; $5,000,000 for bulk hazardous materials (49 CFR 387.9).
- Primary / excess:
- An excess filing sits on top of a primary one; together they make the total filed limit.
- Replaced:
- A new filing took over from this one. Replaced the same day is an ordinary change of insurer or renewal.
- Cancellation notice:
- Form BMC-35 (insurance) or BMC-36 (bond): the insurer tells FMCSA the filing ends in 30 days. The insurer files it whether the insurer or the motor carrier ended the policy; FMCSA does not publish the reason.
- Cancellation processed by FMCSA:
- FMCSA itself ended the filing, for example when the authority was revoked.
- Lapse:
- Time with no liability filing on FMCSA's record while the authority required one. A filing received later can be back-dated, which closes a lapse after the fact.
- Suspended for insurance:
- FMCSA suspended the operating authority because no filing meeting the minimum was on file. FMCSA's records state this reason only since May 14, 2026; before then they show a revocation notice without a cause.
- FMCSA notice resolved in time:
- Before May 14, 2026, FMCSA served a revocation notice when a required filing lapsed and dropped it when the filing was restored. The notice does not say which filing lapsed.
- Suspension notice:
- Since May 14, 2026, FMCSA serves a notice that the authority will be suspended on a date unless the missing filing is restored. The notice does not say which filing.
- Cargo filing:
- Form BMC-34. FMCSA has required it only of household-goods motor carriers and forwarders since 2011, so most motor carriers' cargo policies are not on FMCSA's record.
- Broker bond / trust fund:
- Form BMC-84 (surety bond) or BMC-85 (trust fund): the $75,000 security a broker or freight forwarder must keep on file.
- Self-insurance authority:
- FMCSA lets a few large motor carriers carry their own liability; it appears as a filing by "Self-Insured".
- Risk retention group:
- An insurer owned by its policyholders (often trucking groups). It is not covered by state insurance guaranty funds.
- FMCSA record through:
- The date of the FMCSA file this section was built from. Dockets FMCSA's new system has not yet published are shown from the legacy record, frozen on May 14, 2026.
FMCSA's record of the insurance filed for this motor carrier's operating authority (forms BMC-91/91X liability, BMC-34 cargo, BMC-84/85 broker bond or trust), not the motor carrier's full insurance program. Only for-hire motor carriers with operating authority file with FMCSA; private and intrastate-only motor carriers keep proof of insurance at their place of business, so no filing does not mean no insurance. A filed limit is the amount the insurer certified to FMCSA, which can be below the policy's full limits; cargo and bond filings are shown as on file or not because FMCSA records the federal minimum rather than the policy amount. FMCSA's new registration system (May 14, 2026) publishes a partial set of dockets; a docket not yet in it is shown from the legacy record, frozen on that date, and the live check above is today's reading. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?
Where it happens
Loading map data…
Inspections by state
- North Carolina (HQ) 9
- New Mexico 6
- Arizona 5
- California 4
- Kentucky 4
- Utah 3
- Mississippi 2
- Nebraska 2
18% of inspections were in its home state.
How the estimate is calculated
The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.
How the estimate is calculated
The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.
Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook
The FRED Score predicts this motor carrier's crash risk over the next 12 months — how often they're likely to crash and how severe those crashes tend to be — versus a typical fleet of its size (32 power units: 32 filed, 7 seen roadside in 24 months).
Crash Outlook vs Peer Fleet
crashes per year · same scale
Average peer fleet
0.8
Actual, per year in window
0.7
Projected, next 12 mo
0.8
0
0.5
1
We'd expect a typical fleet of 32 power units this active to have about 0.8 crashes a year. This motor carrier recorded 2 in its scoring window (Oct 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026, about 0.7 a year). Factoring in its inspection and violation record inside that window and the credibility of its own experience, the model projects about 0.8 over the next 12. When this motor carrier does crash, those crashes tend to be substantially more severe than average — roughly 3.3× the injury/fatal weight of a typical crash.
Fatal-crash risk: about 2% chance in the next 12 months
Modeled fatal-crash rate is about typical for similar fleets (likelihood of at least one fatal crash, from its exposure and safety profile).
Track Record Used
Crashes Oct 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026 · inspections Nov 1, 2024 → Oct 31, 2026 · data as of Nov 4, 2026
Inside that window:
49 inspections
and 2 crashes.
The FMCSA record tables now hold 48 inspections and 2 crashes in that window — the SMS data moved after this grade was computed.
Outside the scoring window
on the FMCSA record · not in this grade
Aged out — crashes before Oct 1, 2023, inspections before Nov 1, 2024
- 1 inspection with no out-of-service result
Why there is no grade.
Every grade but Satisfactory needs at least a 60% posterior past its cut; Satisfactory is what is left when none
passes. Here the 80% likely range (0.48×–1.87×)
still runs from below the Excellent cut (0.60×) to above the Poor cut (1.57×), so the record can't
separate a best-in-class fleet from a poor one and the page shows no grade and no FRED Score. The forecasts are
unchanged: in backtests, records this thin crash at their forecast on average but scatter about 2.6× as
widely around it as records that support a Satisfactory grade.
Confidence: Moderate · Z = 0.32
Satisfactory — 1.11x its class rate (cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11). Class rate 0.024 crashes per power-unit-year for a 32-unit for-hire fleet (pu20_49). Violations 1.14x (driver behaviour 1.90x, out-of-service 1.23x, all violations 1.66x; 49 inspections). Experience 0.98x: 1.2 decayed crashes against 1.3 expected over 36 months (credibility 0.32, a 2.82). 80% range 0.48–1.87x. Last change: older crashes rolling off.
Since the previous weekly run the risk relativity moved -1.8%, driven by older crashes rolling off the 36-month ramp.
Scoring flags
MCS-150 mileage unreliable (mileage is not in the grade)
What Drives This Score
1.00× = this motor carrier's class rate
FRED multiplies three factors: the class rate a fleet of this size, class and activity is expected to run, a violation relativity from its roadside record, and its own crash experience over 36 months weighted by how much exposure stands behind it. The grade is the band of the resulting relativity to class, then the screens.
Class rate
2.4 crashes per 100 power-unit-years
32 power units · 0.75 expected crashes a year
Violation relativity
1.14×
49 inspections in window
Crash experience
0.98×
1.2 decayed crashes vs 1.3 expected · credibility 0.32
Driver behaviour
Out-of-service rate
All violations
0×1× class2×+
Each sub-relativity is shrunk toward its cohort rate when the record is thin (Bühlmann credibility), so a short record reads close to 1.00×.
Relativity to class 1.11× (80% range 0.48–1.87×)
· band Marginal → displayed Satisfactory
· cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11, Critical above
FMCSA records
BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.
FMCSA records
BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.
FMCSA BASIC Scores
AB PropertyTotal Inspections
49
Driver Insp
49
Driver OOS
5
Vehicle Insp
29
Vehicle OOS
8
| BASIC | Insp w/ Viol | Measure | Alert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unsafe Driving | 5 | 2.13 | |
| HOS Compliance | 7 | 0.98 | |
| Driver Fitness | 2 | 0.35 | |
| Controlled Substances | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Vehicle Maintenance | 21 | 9.54 |
SMS record data is sourced from FMCSA's Safety Measurement System (01-FEB-26 – 31-DEC-24) and may cover a different time window than the scoring window used for the FRED grade (Oct 1, 2023 → Oct 31, 2026). Counts here may differ from the grade's in-window counts.