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Motor Carrier Safety Report

DOT #40745 · WEATHERLYS INC

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WEATHERLYS INC

DOT# 40745 DUNS# 27641661 Eugene, OR Authorized For-Hire / Private Property

(541) 484-1230 admin@weatherlys.com 15 Wallis St, Eugene OR 97402-0145

13 tractors · all owned 10 drivers 677k mi/yr · ~52k per unit

Not enough record

Graded once the record supports it

52 yrs history · 8 roadside inspections

Checking FMCSA…

Fleet & equipment

Power units: 13
Drivers · CDL: 10 · 10
Annual miles: 677k

Type	Own	Total
Trucks	0	0
Tractors	13	13
Trailers	14	14

Registration

Organization: CORPORATION
FMCSA Rating: Satisfactory (06-05-2024)
Registered: 06-01-1974 (52 yrs)
MCS-150 Update: 04-30-2026 (Address Change)
FRED Score Date: Nov 07, 2026
Officer: NICOLE BOLTON

Cargo

25.8

low risk

Logs/Poles/Beams/Lumber Building Materials Construction Chemicals

Estimated from the commodity types reported to FMCSA, not from loss history or the true cargo mix.

Not enough record to grade yet.

8 inspections and 2 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months fit anything from an Excellent fleet to a Poor one.

Similar fleets: for-hire fleets of 10–19 trucks with the same kind of operation, years in business and amount of road activity. Compared using its own crash record and roadside inspections.

80% likely range 0.54×–2.07×

ExcellentStrongSatisf.SatisfactoryMarginalPoorCritical

▲ Similar fleets 1.0×

Expected crashes, next 12 months

0.5 vs 0.4 for similar fleets

Likely 0–2 crashes

This motor carrier

0.5

Similar fleets

0.4

A record this thin can't pin that down: about a 1-in-4 chance it runs at Poor-level crash rates.

Ask

Loss runs for the last 3 years, and confirm the fleet is operating at its filed size (13 power units).

What the record shows

Crash history

betterworse

Leans worse, not yet proven. 2 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months (about 1 a year), including 1 with injuries; similar fleets have about 0.4 a year. The grade counts 3 crashes in its 36-month scoring window, recent ones weighted most.

Roadside inspections

betterworse

Better than peers. Violations 0.55×, unsafe-driving and hours-of-service violations 0.56× and out-of-service orders 0.78× the rate expected for its inspections. Together they move its crash estimate -12%: roadside results weigh far less than crash history.

Worth a closer look

From the FMCSA record. The estimate already counts the safety items; insurance filings and links to other motor carriers are context only.

Injury crashes

1 crash with 2 people hurt in 24 months.

Ask: claim status and driver history for these crashes.

Track record

FMCSA record, Jan 2025 – Jun 2026 · grade scored on Sep 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026

Crashes

0 fatalities · 2 injuries · 0 tow-aways

Inspections

38% clean (no violations)

Vehicle out-of-service

25.0%

2 of 8

National avg 22.3%

Driver out-of-service

0.0%

0 of 8

National avg 6.7%

Violations

2 out-of-service

Inspections per quarter With an out-of-service order

vs 1,090 peer fleets

	This motor carrier	Peers
Crashes	0.077	0.018
Inspections	0.62	0.53
Violations	0.31	0.37
Critical violations	0.00	0.06

	This motor carrier	Peers
Crashes	0.148	0.062
Inspections	1.18	1.86
Violations	0.59	1.52
Critical violations	0.00	0.24

Yearly rates from the last 24 months. Peers: 10–19 power units, low-risk cargo.

What they get cited for

8 violations · 24 months

Vehicle maintenance No alert

8 · 2 OOS

Brakes 4 · Lights 4
Unsafe driving No alert

0
Hours of service No alert

0
Driver fitness No alert

0
Drugs & alcohol No alert

0

Out-of-service violations “No alert” = under FMCSA's BASIC intervention threshold

Violations by quarter

Tap a category to show or hide it

No violation trend data

Crashes

24 months

May

13

2026

Oregon
Property damage only
Wet road, dawn, rain, two-way trafficway divided unprotected median.
Mar

20

2026

Oregon
Injury · 2 people hurt
Daylight, two-way trafficway divided unprotected median. Citation issued.

Insurance filed with FMCSA

Today · live FMCSA check

Checking FMCSA…

No MC, FF or MX docket on FMCSA's registration for this motor carrier, so there are no insurance filings to show. FMCSA collects filings only from registered for-hire authorities; other motor carriers keep proof of insurance (MCS-90) at their place of business.

FMCSA filings only, not a policy audit. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?

Where it happens

Loading map data…

Inspections by state

Oregon (HQ) 8

How the estimate is calculated

The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

The FRED Score predicts this motor carrier's crash risk over the next 12 months — how often they're likely to crash and how severe those crashes tend to be — versus a typical fleet of its size (13 power units: 13 filed, 7 seen roadside in 24 months).

Crash Outlook vs Peer Fleet

crashes per year · same scale

Average peer fleet

0.4

Actual, per year in window

1.0

Projected, next 12 mo

0.5

0 0.75 1.5

We'd expect a typical fleet of 13 power units this active to have about 0.4 crashes a year. This motor carrier recorded 3 in its scoring window (Sep 1, 2023 → Aug 31, 2026, about 1.0 a year) — about 2.3× a typical fleet. Factoring in its inspection and violation record inside that window and the credibility of its own experience, the model projects about 0.5 over the next 12 — about 1.2× the typical fleet. When this motor carrier does crash, those crashes tend to be substantially more severe than average — roughly 3.4× the injury/fatal weight of a typical crash.

Fatal-crash risk: about 2% chance in the next 12 months

Modeled fatal-crash rate is about typical for similar fleets (likelihood of at least one fatal crash, from its exposure and safety profile).

Track Record Used

Crashes Sep 1, 2023 → Aug 31, 2026 · inspections Oct 1, 2024 → Sep 30, 2026 · data as of Oct 29, 2026

Inside that window: 8 inspections and 3 crashes. The FMCSA record tables now hold 8 inspections and 2 crashes in that window — the SMS data moved after this grade was computed.

Why there is no grade. Every grade but Satisfactory needs at least a 60% posterior past its cut; Satisfactory is what is left when none passes. Here the 80% likely range (0.54×–2.07×) still runs from below the Excellent cut (0.60×) to above the Poor cut (1.57×), so the record can't separate a best-in-class fleet from a poor one and the page shows no grade and no FRED Score. The forecasts are unchanged: in backtests, records this thin crash at their forecast on average but scatter about 2.6× as widely around it as records that support a Satisfactory grade.

Confidence: Low · Z = 0.20

Satisfactory — 1.24x its class rate (cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11). Class rate 0.034 crashes per power-unit-year for a 13-unit for-hire fleet (pu10_19). Violations 0.88x (driver behaviour 0.56x, out-of-service 0.78x, all violations 0.55x; 8 inspections). Experience 1.41x: 1.8 decayed crashes against 0.6 expected over 36 months (credibility 0.20, a 2.33). 80% range 0.54–2.07x. Last change: no change since the last run.

No change since the previous weekly run.

Scoring flags Thin record (low credibility: little exposure behind the grade) (informational — no grade effect)

What Drives This Score

1.00× = this motor carrier's class rate

FRED multiplies three factors: the class rate a fleet of this size, class and activity is expected to run, a violation relativity from its roadside record, and its own crash experience over 36 months weighted by how much exposure stands behind it. The grade is the band of the resulting relativity to class, then the screens.

Class rate

3.4 crashes per 100 power-unit-years

13 power units · 0.44 expected crashes a year

Violation relativity

0.88×

8 inspections in window

Crash experience

1.41×

1.8 decayed crashes vs 0.6 expected · credibility 0.20

Driver behaviour

0.56×

Out-of-service rate

0.78×

All violations

0.55×

0×1× class2×+

Each sub-relativity is shrunk toward its cohort rate when the record is thin (Bühlmann credibility), so a short record reads close to 1.00×.

Relativity to class 1.24× (80% range 0.54–2.07×) · band Marginal → displayed Satisfactory · cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11, Critical above

Full methodology · Scoring white paper · Validation study

FMCSA records

BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.

FMCSA BASIC Scores

AB Property

Total Inspections

Driver Insp

Driver OOS

Vehicle Insp

Vehicle OOS

BASIC	Insp w/ Viol	Measure
Unsafe Driving	0	0.00
HOS Compliance	0	0.00
Driver Fitness	0	0.00
Controlled Substances	0	0.00
Vehicle Maintenance	5	4.64

SMS record data is sourced from FMCSA's Safety Measurement System (05-JAN-26 – 22-OCT-25) and may cover a different time window than the scoring window used for the FRED grade (Sep 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026). Counts here may differ from the grade's in-window counts.

WEATHERLYS INC

Fleet & equipment

Registration

Cargo

Worth a closer look

Track record

What they get cited for

Violations by quarter

Crashes

Insurance filed with FMCSA

Where it happens

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

FMCSA BASIC Scores

FMCSA Inspection Records

FMCSA Crash Records

FMCSA Violation Records

WEATHERLYS INC

FMCSA Live Status

Fleet & equipment

Registration

Cargo

Worth a closer look

Track record

What they get cited for

Violations by quarter

Crashes

Insurance filed with FMCSA

Where it happens

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

FMCSA BASIC Scores

FMCSA Inspection Records

FMCSA Crash Records

FMCSA Violation Records