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Motor Carrier Safety Report

DOT #480613 · JOHN KOPAS JR

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JOHN KOPAS JR

DBA: JOHN KOPAS JR TRUCKING

DOT# 480613 MC# 255677 Watertown, WI Authorized For-Hire

(920) 261-2956 kopas@gdinet.com W5369 County Road Cw, Watertown WI 53098-4550

1 tractors · all owned 1 drivers 90k mi/yr · ~90k per unit

Not enough record

Graded once the record supports it

34 yrs history · 0 roadside inspections

Checking FMCSA…

Fleet & equipment

Power units: 1
Drivers · CDL: 1 · 1
Annual miles: 90k

Type	Own	Total
Trucks	0	0
Tractors	1	1
Trailers	2	2

Registration

Organization: INDIVIDUAL
Cargo Operation: Interstate
Scope: Interstate (Beyond 100 miles)
FMCSA Rating: Satisfactory (03-27-1996) · 30 yr old
Registered: 04-21-1992 (34 yrs)
MCS-150 Update: 05-08-2025 (Address Change)
FRED Score Date: Nov 07, 2026
Officer: JOHN KOPAS JR
Officer: NANCY N KOPAS

Cargo

62.8

medium risk

Metal: Sheets/Coils/Rolls Machinery/Large Objects Meat Refrigerated Food General Freight Logs/Poles/Beams/Lumber Building Materials Beverages Other: CANNED VEGETABLES Grain/Feed/Hay Paper Products Farm Supplies Construction

High-Risk Cargo: Machinery Large, General Freight, Refrigerated Food, Meat

Note: "General Freight" is a catch-all; the actual cargo mix and its risk may differ.

Estimated from the commodity types reported to FMCSA, not from loss history or the true cargo mix.

Advisory Grade — Outside the Ranked Book

Fleets under 10 power units are graded against their size cohort (pu1) for reference, but sit outside the 10+ power-unit underwriting book the FRED rank covers.

Not enough record to grade yet.

No inspections and no crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months fit anything from an Excellent fleet to a Poor one.

Similar fleets: for-hire fleets of 1 truck with the same kind of operation, years in business and amount of road activity. Compared using its own crash record and roadside inspections.

80% likely range 0.06×–2.39×

ExcellentStrongSatisf.SatisfactoryMarginalPoorCritical

▲ Similar fleets 1.0×

Expected crashes, next 12 months

0.0 vs 0.0 for similar fleets

Most likely none

This motor carrier

0.0

Similar fleets

0.0

A record this thin can't pin that down: about a 1-in-5 chance it runs at Poor-level crash rates.

Ask

Loss runs for the last 3 years, and confirm the fleet is operating at its filed size (1 power unit).

What the record shows

Crash history

betterworse

Too little record to tell. 0 crashes on the FMCSA record in 24 months; similar fleets have under 0.1 a year.

Roadside inspections

betterworse

No roadside record. No inspections in the scoring window, so roadside results leave its estimate at typical.

Worth a closer look

From the FMCSA record. The estimate already counts the safety items; insurance filings and links to other motor carriers are context only.

Nothing on the FMCSA record stands out.

Data flags

Limited inspection history
Fewer than 5 roadside inspections on record, so there isn't enough data to score this motor carrier with high confidence — the score leans more on peers.

Track record

FMCSA record, last 24 months · grade scored on Sep 1, 2023 → Sep 30, 2026

Crashes

0 fatalities · 0 injuries · 0 tow-aways

Inspections

roadside inspections

Vehicle out-of-service

—

no inspections

National avg 22.3%

Driver out-of-service

—

no inspections

National avg 6.7%

Violations

0 out-of-service

vs 39,348 peer fleets

	This motor carrier	Peers
Crashes	0.000	0.046
Inspections	0.50	1.94
Violations	0.00	1.82
Critical violations	0.00	0.34

	This motor carrier	Peers
Crashes	0.000	0.035
Inspections	0.56	1.48
Violations	0.00	1.38
Critical violations	0.00	0.26

Yearly rates from the last 24 months. Peers: Owner-Operator power units, medium-risk cargo.

What they get cited for

0 violations · 24 months

No violations on the FMCSA record in the last 24 months.

Violations by quarter

Tap a category to show or hide it

No violation trend data

Crashes

24 months

No reportable crashes on the FMCSA record in the last 24 months.

Insurance filed with FMCSA

FMCSA record through May 14, 2026 · no change recorded by FMCSA since

Today · live FMCSA check

Checking FMCSA…

Last on FMCSA's record (May 14, 2026): $1,000,000 · GREAT WEST CASUALTY CO.
on record since Sep 29, 2013 · FMCSA minimum $1,000,000 · no gap on FMCSA's record since Dec 1993
Cargo filing: not required by FMCSA (household-goods motor carriers only); the cargo policy is not on FMCSA's record

36 months to May 14, 2026

One liability insurer throughout
No gap in filed liability coverage while liability was required

Operating authority active (FMCSA's L&I record of May 14, 2026, status since May 26, 2005)

Who insures fleets like this →

FMCSA filings only, not a policy audit. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?

Every insurance filing on the FMCSA record

4 filings and 2 authority events since 1993 · FMCSA record through May 14, 2026

Newest first. Insurer names as filed. FMCSA does not publish why a filing was cancelled.

Sep 29, 2013

GREAT WEST CASUALTY CO.

Liability · $1,000,000 · on file

L&I to May 14, 2026
May 2, 2005

FMCSA revocation notice for the operating authority, dropped May 26, 2005

cause not stated in FMCSA's older records

L&I to May 14, 2026
Oct 5, 2003

NORTHLAND INSURANCE COMPANY

Liability · $1,000,000 · ended Sep 29, 2013 · replaced by another insurer

120 months in force

L&I to May 14, 2026
Jun 17, 2003

NORTHLAND INSURANCE COMPANY

Liability · $1,000,000 · ended Oct 5, 2003 · cancellation notice took effect

4 months in force

L&I to May 14, 2026
Dec 23, 1993

NORTHLAND INSURANCE COMPANY

Liability · $1,000,000 · ended Jun 17, 2003 · cancellation notice took effect

114 months in force

L&I to May 14, 2026
Feb 4, 1993

Operating authority granted

L&I to May 14, 2026

What the terms mean

Liability filing (BIPD):: The insurer's certificate (form BMC-91 or 91X) that the motor carrier carries bodily-injury and property-damage liability at or above FMCSA's minimum. A BMC-82 is the same promise made by a surety bond.
FMCSA minimum:: $750,000 for general freight in vehicles of 10,001 lb or more; $300,000 under 10,001 lb; $1,000,000 for oil and some hazardous materials; $5,000,000 for bulk hazardous materials (49 CFR 387.9).
Primary / excess:: An excess filing sits on top of a primary one; together they make the total filed limit.
Replaced:: A new filing took over from this one. Replaced the same day is an ordinary change of insurer or renewal.
Cancellation notice:: Form BMC-35 (insurance) or BMC-36 (bond): the insurer tells FMCSA the filing ends in 30 days. The insurer files it whether the insurer or the motor carrier ended the policy; FMCSA does not publish the reason.
Cancellation processed by FMCSA:: FMCSA itself ended the filing, for example when the authority was revoked.
Lapse:: Time with no liability filing on FMCSA's record while the authority required one. A filing received later can be back-dated, which closes a lapse after the fact.
Suspended for insurance:: FMCSA suspended the operating authority because no filing meeting the minimum was on file. FMCSA's records state this reason only since May 14, 2026; before then they show a revocation notice without a cause.
FMCSA notice resolved in time:: Before May 14, 2026, FMCSA served a revocation notice when a required filing lapsed and dropped it when the filing was restored. The notice does not say which filing lapsed.
Suspension notice:: Since May 14, 2026, FMCSA serves a notice that the authority will be suspended on a date unless the missing filing is restored. The notice does not say which filing.
Cargo filing:: Form BMC-34. FMCSA has required it only of household-goods motor carriers and forwarders since 2011, so most motor carriers' cargo policies are not on FMCSA's record.
Broker bond / trust fund:: Form BMC-84 (surety bond) or BMC-85 (trust fund): the $75,000 security a broker or freight forwarder must keep on file.
Self-insurance authority:: FMCSA lets a few large motor carriers carry their own liability; it appears as a filing by "Self-Insured".
Risk retention group:: An insurer owned by its policyholders (often trucking groups). It is not covered by state insurance guaranty funds.
FMCSA record through:: The date of the FMCSA file this section was built from. Dockets FMCSA's new system has not yet published are shown from the legacy record, frozen on May 14, 2026.

FMCSA's record of the insurance filed for this motor carrier's operating authority (forms BMC-91/91X liability, BMC-34 cargo, BMC-84/85 broker bond or trust), not the motor carrier's full insurance program. Only for-hire motor carriers with operating authority file with FMCSA; private and intrastate-only motor carriers keep proof of insurance at their place of business, so no filing does not mean no insurance. A filed limit is the amount the insurer certified to FMCSA, which can be below the policy's full limits; cargo and bond filings are shown as on file or not because FMCSA records the federal minimum rather than the policy amount. FMCSA's new registration system (May 14, 2026) publishes a partial set of dockets; a docket not yet in it is shown from the legacy record, frozen on that date, and the live check above is today's reading. Not part of the FRED grade. Wrong or out of date?

Where it happens

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How the estimate is calculated

The model, its inputs, the window it scored and its confidence. For actuaries and anyone checking the work.

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

The FRED Score predicts this motor carrier's crash risk over the next 12 months — how often they're likely to crash and how severe those crashes tend to be — versus a typical fleet of its size (1 power unit: 1 filed, 0 seen roadside in 24 months).

Crash Outlook vs Peer Fleet

crashes per year · same scale

Average peer fleet

0.0

Actual, per year in window

0.0

Projected, next 12 mo

0.0

0 0.25 0.5

We'd expect a typical fleet of 1 power unit this active to have about 0.0 crashes a year. This motor carrier recorded 0 in its scoring window (Sep 1, 2023 → Aug 31, 2026, about 0.0 a year) — fewer than a typical fleet. Factoring in its inspection and violation record inside that window and the credibility of its own experience, the model projects about 0.0 over the next 12.

Fatal-crash risk: less than a 1% chance in the next 12 months

Modeled fatal-crash rate is about typical for similar fleets (likelihood of at least one fatal crash, from its exposure and safety profile).

Track Record Used

Crashes Sep 1, 2023 → Aug 31, 2026 · inspections Oct 1, 2024 → Sep 30, 2026 · data as of Oct 29, 2026

Inside that window: 0 inspections and 0 crashes.

Why there is no grade. Every grade but Satisfactory needs at least a 60% posterior past its cut; Satisfactory is what is left when none passes. Here the 80% likely range (0.06×–2.39×) still runs from below the Excellent cut (0.60×) to above the Poor cut (1.57×), so the record can't separate a best-in-class fleet from a poor one and the page shows no grade and no FRED Score. The forecasts are unchanged: in backtests, records this thin crash at their forecast on average but scatter about 2.6× as widely around it as records that support a Satisfactory grade.

Confidence: Prior-only · Z = 0.00 (posterior 0.02 × exposure corroboration) Provisional

Satisfactory — 0.98x its class rate (cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11). Class rate 0.010 crashes per power-unit-year for a 1-unit for-hire fleet (pu1). Violations 1.00x (driver behaviour 1.00x, out-of-service 1.00x, all violations 1.00x; 0 inspections). Experience 0.98x: 0.0 decayed crashes against 0.0 expected over 36 months (credibility 0.02, a 0.79). 80% range 0.06–2.39x. Last change: no change since the last run.

No change since the previous weekly run.

Scoring flags Thin record (low credibility: little exposure behind the grade) (informational — no grade effect)

What Drives This Score

1.00× = this motor carrier's class rate

FRED multiplies three factors: the class rate a fleet of this size, class and activity is expected to run, a violation relativity from its roadside record, and its own crash experience over 36 months weighted by how much exposure stands behind it. The grade is the band of the resulting relativity to class, then the screens.

Class rate

1.0 crashes per 100 power-unit-years

1 power unit · 0.01 expected crashes a year

Violation relativity

1.00×

0 inspections in window

Crash experience

0.98×

0.0 decayed crashes vs 0.0 expected · credibility 0.02

Driver behaviour

1.00×

Out-of-service rate

1.00×

All violations

1.00×

0×1× class2×+

Each sub-relativity is shrunk toward its cohort rate when the record is thin (Bühlmann credibility), so a short record reads close to 1.00×.

Relativity to class 0.98× (80% range 0.06–2.39×) · band Satisfactory · cuts: Excellent <0.60, Strong <0.76, Satisfactory <1.06, Marginal <1.57, Poor <2.11, Critical above

Full methodology · Scoring white paper · Validation study

FMCSA records

BASIC measures and every inspection, violation and crash, sortable and filterable.

FMCSA BASIC Scores

AB Property

Total Inspections

Driver Insp

Driver OOS

Vehicle Insp

Vehicle OOS

BASIC	Insp w/ Viol	Measure	Alert
Unsafe Driving	0	0.00
HOS Compliance	0	0.00
Driver Fitness	0	0.00
Controlled Substances	0	0.00
Vehicle Maintenance	0	0.00

JOHN KOPAS JR

FMCSA Live Status

Fleet & equipment

Registration

Cargo

Worth a closer look

Track record

What they get cited for

Violations by quarter

Crashes

Insurance filed with FMCSA

Where it happens

Forward 12-Month Risk Outlook

FMCSA BASIC Scores